Thursday 1 August 2013

Offering a Strategic Edge

Aircraft carriers, despite their great cost, have always been seen as strategically important by the Indian Navy due to what must be a misplaced sense of grandeur. Today, they are seen as vital for India to establish a naval presence as a world power.



The fading away of the old British aircraft carrier and the commissioning of Russian made 44,570 tonne INS Vikramaditya (R33), and the likely induction of indigenously built 37,000- tonne INS Vikrant by 2018 represent a symbolic coming of age for the Indian Navy. The twin carriers are expected to serve the navy for the next 40 years. The fleet may see a probable addition of a nother 65,000-tonne indigenous vessel after a gap of 10 years or so. Despite the impressive numbers, one remains sceptical about the strategic thought behind the Indian Navy's perspective planning. The only visible novelty in Indian naval thought is the use of postmodern symbolism to sell its modernisation plans to the public at large. Till a few years ago, the navigation track of a warship at sea was a highly guarded secret. In the age of transparency, the full electronic track of R33, from Russia to India, is now available on social media for the military-machine enthusiasts to speculate on all the minor and bold alterations of courses ordered by the command. However, what is more crucial is that despite the decline in universal appeal of aircraft carriers, they continue to be the “queen ship” of the Indian Navy. Over the past half a century, besides laying the foundation of the Indian naval air arm, the two ex-British carriers have given India no tactical or strategic advantage in the Indian Ocean. In fact, the history of the aircraft carrier purchases by India clearly suggests that they were bought for considerations other than the strategic.
Misplaced Ambitions In 1956, when India decided to buy the redundant British light fl eet carrier HMS Hercules, there was neither any justification nor any reason for a nine-year-old infant nation to catapult itself to great power status by spending precious foreign exchange in times of extreme food shortages in the country.3 The cost of the old English carrier was close to one instalment (£50 million or Rs 65 crore) of what the British had promised to pay the Indians under the Indo-British sterling agreement. Interestingly, the Indian Navy's aircraft carrier dreams were drawing funds from the Second Five- Year Plan that had envisaged a foreign exchange shortfall of Rs 11,000 million and was looking at raising Rs 1,000 million through new private foreign investment.
The mid-1950s was the time when India was demanding the delinking of the rupee from the plummeting sterling and converting the £542 million Indian sterling reserves into dollars. Fearing damage to the international role of the sterling, the Bank of England and the Chancellor of the Exchequer pleaded with India to refrain from taking any drastic step. It is in this period of financial stress that both India and Britain initiated the Gnat fighter and aircraft carrier deals.
Perhaps the only solace was that India was not the only third world nation on which an old aircraft carrier was being dumped. Debt-ridden nations – Argentina, Brazil and Thailand were the other gullible buyers in late 1950s and early 1960s. India's second aircraft carrier INS Viraat came along with British Sea Harrier aircraft. The deal for Harriers for the Indian Navy had started as early as 1970s. In 1972, the British aerospace industry as well as their government pitched for the sale of 100 Sea Harriers to the Chinese. The Chinese who had a more urgent strategic requirement of getting Margaret Thatcher to sign an agreement for return of Hong Kong indulged the British till 1979 and finally refused to buy the Harriers. India had no substantial aim vis-à-vis Britain, yet, misplaced ambitions of grandeur led New Delhi to inadvertently pay for Thatcher's extravagance in 1982 Falklands war through the purchase of Hermes and Harriers.
The third Indian carrier, INS Vikramaditya, was built by the Soviets towards the fag end of the Cold War. The issolution of Soviet Union and the declining Russian stature in international politics in the Boris Yeltsin era made the Russian distaste for aircraft carriers even more pronounced. The Russians offered the raw platform to the Indians free of cost. The deal was signed with the Russians in 2004. The Indian naval planners' dogmatic allegiance to aircraft carriers has led to the refurbishment of Vikramaditya at a cost of $2.33 billion. Such spending is being justified in terms of India's growing economic reach and the global gaze shifting to the Asia-Pacific region. According to Kaplan, of late, a greater interest is being evinced in the Indian Ocean Region (IOR). The European interest in IOR is being fuelled “as a result of what is perceived to be a growing mixture of shiny gunboats, new naval stations and geopolitical intrigue among countries of the IOR such as India, China,the United States and Iran”. Admiral (retd) Arun Prakash posits, “The surge of interest in the Indian IOR, of which India is a major geographical constituent, is a new phenomenon.” Some Chinese scholars see “a progressively assertive India, setting the pace of the impending maritime rivalries among the great powers”. Contradicting the Chinese, former naval chief, admiral Sureesh Mehta feels that India “lacks strategic thinking in terms of maritime affairs, and also paucity of planning to counter Chinese moves in the IOR”. This growing mismatch between the Indian and Chinese perceptions of maritime security in the IOR is being aided and exploited by the America's “Asia pivot” and their resolve to maintain their predominance in the region.
The current debates based on booming Indian economic might and intensification of competition with China are indicative of a fresh urge among the maritime strategists to resurrect Mahanian concepts of sea power and naval strategy. What is discernible in these trends is that there is a growing salience of strategic theories that are pushing India to look beyond their borders, and move into a global arena using their sea power. As a former naval officer says, The advocates of a Realist foreign p olicy see Indian Navy's proactive operations in IOR and South China Sea as an instrument to achieve great power status for India. The key tenets of Realist thought on Indian maritime security are: (1) maritime security is intrinsically linked to trade and commerce; (2) the impact of national sea power is best felt beyond the exclusive economic zone (EEZ); the Indian Navy should be the net security provider in the IOR; (4) naval bases on foreign territory are a must to exercise sea power; and (5) the Indian Navy is the foremost instrument of Indian military diplomacy. This seeming theoretical clarity is largely based on western scholarship on maritime affairs. Behind such formulations is a belief that the next stage of capitalist development in India and China will lead to imperialism – a competition for colonies. And since historically, force at sea has been a quintessential ingredient for any imperial powers, therefore, India must be a sea power to be a great power.
Such delusions of grandeur lie behind the borrowed strategic themes as “out of area operations”, cooperative security at sea and the support they render to the concept of aircraft carrier as the bulwark of Indian naval strategy. Subsidising the Imperium However, what is normally overlooked is that theories which are applicable for truly great sea powers like the US may not fi t the medium power requirements.
The reach and range of American maritime assets places it in an absolutely different league. Despite this common knowledge, naval planners continue to insist on making Indian Navy a miniaturised version of the US navy. Fifty years ago, India paid to bail out England, and now, once again, India is digging deep into its pockets to sustain the dwindling fortunes of the falling American Empire. In the next couple of decades, India is not likely to reach a stage where it would be able to exercise any maritime adventure on its own steam – position its CBG to launch its fi ghters for fi ring missiles on enemy land from the sea. Operating any aircraft carrier in close proximity to e nemy territory enhances its vulnerability manifold. Establishing sea control even for a limited time of period is a diffi cult proposition in the age of sophisticated submarines and nano-technology. Therefore, the only o ption for the Indian Navy to use its costly carrier and its organic air is to operate under guidance and cover of the US military diplomacy, a proposition that would not only curtail strategic a utonomy, but create conditions for the Indian fl eet to be constantly in tow of the US fleet.
It is now well established that the US navy is shrinking under the burden of budget cuts. To obviate this difficulty, the US wants to broaden its military alliance base beyond the Atlantic. The game plan as enunciated by US military strategist Thomas Barnet is “We want to administer the global security system, not rule it. Like those 'system administrators' that keep the Internet up and running, America needs to play system administrator to the global security network. We need to keep globalisation up and running – to be, in effect, its bodyguard.” Rekindling the imperial desires of France, Japan and the Indian elite is part of the global security structure envisaged by the US.
The Indian strategy disregards facts and relies on theories that make it don an oversized jacket designed to fi t an imperial power. Strategies for medium powers need not always rely on marrying military means with political objectives. The problem arises because conventional strategists are preoccupied with “use of force” and its calibration to achieve national objectives. This assumes that the state's monopoly over means of violence is absolute and the only restraining factor is the adversary's military strength. Therefore, adroit management of limited wars or threat of use of force is considered to be the lynchpin of strategy. It is such thinking that makes costly platforms like aircraft carriers look attractive national weapons and disregard all military lessons that a medium power like India must learn from the experience of invaded nations. What prevented the sophisticated, modern military machines in Iraq and Libya from offering resistance against their invaders is a question that needs to be studied in greater detail. Spending money on techniques to penetrate no-fly zones created by a big power and jamming the incoming missiles of an invading airpower should be the strategic imperative rather than splurging money on gaining a false sense of prestige.


Strengthening Party Organisation is a big challenge for me

Nirmal Khatri, President, UPCC, says thats the initiatives by the present Chief Minister are not enough and has not come upto the expectations of people. Acknowledging that the Congress party in state is in bad shape, he says that there is still a need to revamp the oganisation to gear up the party morale. Excerpts:



TE: How do you assess the present Samajwadi Party Government in UP?
Nirmal: The SP Government has not come up to the expectations of the people. The law and order situation has worsened and many cases of communal violence registered in their period. They are not able to meet up the promises which they made before the elections. I don't see them successful from any side.
TE: Your views on UP CM's initiatives on development?
Nirmal: Hon'ble CM of UP has made several announcements regarding development and it would be very good if they get implemented in the future. The credit of whatever good has happened in the state during this period equally goes to the Central Congress government. Central Government has extended its full support to the development initiatives of the UP Government. 
TE: As President of UPCC, What are your plans to put congress back on tracks in the upcoming elections?
Nirmal: My first priority is to boost up the morale of the party workers which suffered a setback after the last Assembly elections, so that they would be positive about the future development and the party plans. To restore party's energy is a challenge for me. My second priority is to re-strengthen the party organization in the state.
TE: What has been your contribution in mobilizing masses and organizing workers as a team? No one had really heard your name as a state level leader before?
Nirmal:  There was a gap in the past but my contribution to the party has been many. I was the president of UP Youth Congress from 1982-1986 and then I was nominated the Member of Parliament  thereafter I worked as Vice President in organization. There was a phase when I was in the state office under Sri Prakash Jaiswal and handled all the work. But for the last few years I had limited myself only to my constituency and now I have been made the President of UPCC.
TE: What are the reasons for dividing UP and setting up a new Zonal Structure?
Nirmal: UP is a very vast state and in this very huge area a single person won't be able to reconstitute the party because of which the Congress High Commission has setup Zonal Structure. It will help in revamping the organization and gearing up the party morale. 
TE: Do you think it will help in re-boosting the party in the state?
Nirmal: I am very much hopeful about its success in the state. It will help in mobilizing party's strength in UP. 
TE: Rita Bahuguna, the past state president promised more and delivered less and had to resign. Who's failure it was?
Nirmal: I don't think Rita Bahuguna was responsible for the poor show in the state. She must have realized her responsibility and resigned, it would be better to ask the question from her, she would be in better position to reply.


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